000 WHXX01 KWBC 280657 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0657 UTC FRI SEP 28 2007 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE LORENZO (AL132007) 20070928 0600 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 070928 0600 070928 1800 070929 0600 070929 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 20.5N 97.1W 20.6N 99.0W 20.9N 101.4W 22.0N 103.5W BAMD 20.5N 97.1W 20.7N 98.8W 21.4N 100.3W 22.5N 101.6W BAMM 20.5N 97.1W 20.8N 99.1W 21.4N 101.1W 22.6N 103.1W LBAR 20.5N 97.1W 20.8N 98.7W 21.7N 100.6W 22.9N 102.6W SHIP 65KTS 72KTS 77KTS 81KTS DSHP 65KTS 41KTS 31KTS 28KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 070930 0600 071001 0600 071002 0600 071003 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 23.3N 105.3W 25.8N 108.9W 28.1N 110.1W 28.8N 109.1W BAMD 23.7N 102.5W 24.5N 104.3W 24.5N 105.9W 23.3N 106.1W BAMM 24.1N 104.5W 26.6N 106.8W 29.3N 105.8W 29.2N 101.9W LBAR 25.1N 104.0W 27.9N 105.3W 27.8N 104.7W 27.6N 103.6W SHIP 83KTS 79KTS 73KTS 70KTS DSHP 27KTS 27KTS 27KTS 27KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 20.5N LONCUR = 97.1W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR = 7KT LATM12 = 20.5N LONM12 = 95.7W DIRM12 = 265DEG SPDM12 = 5KT LATM24 = 20.8N LONM24 = 94.8W WNDCUR = 65KT RMAXWD = 10NM WNDM12 = 60KT CENPRS = 993MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 100NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 40NM RD34SE = 40NM RD34SW = 40NM RD34NW = 40NM $$ NNNN