000 WHXX01 KWBC 280651 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0651 UTC FRI SEP 28 2007 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE KAREN (AL122007) 20070928 0600 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 070928 0600 070928 1800 070929 0600 070929 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 14.0N 49.4W 15.3N 52.0W 16.3N 54.3W 17.5N 56.2W BAMD 14.0N 49.4W 15.6N 50.2W 17.1N 50.5W 18.5N 50.5W BAMM 14.0N 49.4W 15.1N 51.3W 16.1N 52.7W 17.0N 53.9W LBAR 14.0N 49.4W 14.8N 50.5W 15.9N 51.7W 16.8N 52.8W SHIP 45KTS 43KTS 40KTS 40KTS DSHP 45KTS 43KTS 40KTS 40KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 070930 0600 071001 0600 071002 0600 071003 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 18.3N 57.7W 20.2N 60.3W 21.6N 62.5W 21.8N 64.4W BAMD 19.8N 50.6W 22.2N 51.8W 24.6N 53.8W 25.4N 55.4W BAMM 17.8N 54.7W 19.7N 56.6W 21.2N 58.1W 21.3N 59.8W LBAR 17.7N 53.8W 19.8N 55.6W 21.5N 57.3W 21.7N 59.4W SHIP 39KTS 47KTS 58KTS 61KTS DSHP 39KTS 47KTS 58KTS 61KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 14.0N LONCUR = 49.4W DIRCUR = 285DEG SPDCUR = 9KT LATM12 = 14.2N LONM12 = 47.9W DIRM12 = 287DEG SPDM12 = 10KT LATM24 = 13.1N LONM24 = 45.7W WNDCUR = 45KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 50KT CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD = 155NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 130NM RD34SE = 120NM RD34SW = 40NM RD34NW = 70NM $$ NNNN