000
WTNT80 EGRR 280604

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 28.09.2007

        TROPICAL STORM KAREN      ANALYSED POSITION : 15.2N  49.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122007

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 28.09.2007  15.2N  49.2W   MODERATE
 12UTC 28.09.2007  16.3N  50.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 29.09.2007  17.0N  51.4W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 29.09.2007  18.2N  52.8W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 30.09.2007  19.3N  53.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 30.09.2007  20.4N  54.7W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 01.10.2007  21.4N  55.5W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 01.10.2007  22.3N  56.5W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 02.10.2007  22.6N  57.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.10.2007  22.6N  58.7W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.10.2007  22.4N  59.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.10.2007  22.0N  61.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 04.10.2007  21.2N  62.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             HURRICANE LORENZO    ANALYSED POSITION : 20.5N  96.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132007

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 28.09.2007  20.5N  96.0W    STRONG
 12UTC 28.09.2007  20.8N  97.4W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 29.09.2007  21.4N  98.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 29.09.2007  20.0N  97.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 30.09.2007  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

           
 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 280604