000 WHXX01 KWBC 280054 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0054 UTC FRI SEP 28 2007 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE KAREN (AL122007) 20070928 0000 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 070928 0000 070928 1200 070929 0000 070929 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 14.6N 49.0W 16.0N 51.7W 17.2N 53.9W 18.2N 55.8W BAMD 14.6N 49.0W 16.1N 50.1W 17.7N 50.9W 19.2N 51.3W BAMM 14.6N 49.0W 15.6N 51.1W 16.7N 52.7W 17.5N 54.0W LBAR 14.6N 49.0W 15.9N 50.5W 17.2N 51.8W 18.2N 53.0W SHIP 50KTS 45KTS 43KTS 41KTS DSHP 50KTS 45KTS 43KTS 41KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 070930 0000 071001 0000 071002 0000 071003 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 19.0N 56.7W 20.2N 58.4W 21.0N 59.3W 20.9N 59.3W BAMD 20.7N 51.6W 23.9N 53.1W 27.0N 55.4W 28.1N 56.6W BAMM 18.5N 54.8W 19.9N 56.2W 21.4N 57.5W 21.8N 58.5W LBAR 19.1N 54.0W 21.3N 55.2W 23.1N 56.1W 23.7N 56.7W SHIP 40KTS 43KTS 52KTS 61KTS DSHP 40KTS 43KTS 52KTS 61KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 14.6N LONCUR = 49.0W DIRCUR = 295DEG SPDCUR = 12KT LATM12 = 13.5N LONM12 = 46.8W DIRM12 = 297DEG SPDM12 = 12KT LATM24 = 12.7N LONM24 = 44.6W WNDCUR = 50KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 55KT CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1013MB OUTRAD = 180NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 150NM RD34SE = 140NM RD34SW = 40NM RD34NW = 80NM $$ NNNN