000 WHXX01 KWBC 271843 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1843 UTC THU SEP 27 2007 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE LORENZO (AL132007) 20070927 1800 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 070927 1800 070928 0600 070928 1800 070929 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 20.5N 95.7W 20.0N 97.1W 19.7N 99.4W 19.9N 101.9W BAMD 20.5N 95.7W 20.2N 97.3W 20.3N 99.2W 21.0N 100.9W BAMM 20.5N 95.7W 20.1N 97.4W 20.1N 99.7W 20.4N 102.1W LBAR 20.5N 95.7W 20.3N 96.8W 20.5N 98.4W 21.2N 100.4W SHIP 50KTS 63KTS 72KTS 79KTS DSHP 50KTS 63KTS 44KTS 33KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 070929 1800 070930 1800 071001 1800 071002 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 20.7N 104.1W 22.7N 107.0W 23.6N 110.1W 23.1N 111.7W BAMD 22.3N 102.2W 25.2N 102.7W 25.3N 102.3W 23.4N 101.1W BAMM 21.6N 104.0W 24.2N 105.3W 24.8N 106.6W 23.4N 106.7W LBAR 22.3N 102.7W 26.2N 104.7W 27.7N 104.2W 27.6N 102.5W SHIP 85KTS 92KTS 87KTS 79KTS DSHP 29KTS 27KTS 27KTS 27KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 20.5N LONCUR = 95.7W DIRCUR = 240DEG SPDCUR = 4KT LATM12 = 20.8N LONM12 = 94.8W DIRM12 = 205DEG SPDM12 = 3KT LATM24 = 21.2N LONM24 = 94.4W WNDCUR = 50KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 30KT CENPRS = 1000MB OUTPRS = 1013MB OUTRAD = 100NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 30NM RD34SE = 30NM RD34SW = 60NM RD34NW = 30NM $$ NNNN