000
WHXX01 KWBC 271832
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1832 UTC THU SEP 27 2007
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE KAREN (AL122007) 20070927 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        070927  1800   070928  0600   070928  1800   070929  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.2N  47.9W   15.4N  50.8W   16.8N  53.6W   17.6N  55.6W
BAMD    14.2N  47.9W   15.8N  49.2W   17.4N  50.2W   18.9N  50.8W
BAMM    14.2N  47.9W   15.2N  50.1W   16.3N  52.0W   17.2N  53.4W
LBAR    14.2N  47.9W   15.5N  49.5W   16.6N  51.0W   17.7N  52.3W
SHIP        50KTS          47KTS          45KTS          45KTS
DSHP        50KTS          47KTS          45KTS          45KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        070929  1800   070930  1800   071001  1800   071002  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    18.4N  57.3W   19.4N  59.9W   20.1N  61.6W   20.3N  63.0W
BAMD    20.3N  51.4W   23.4N  52.9W   26.5N  55.0W   28.8N  55.8W
BAMM    18.0N  54.5W   19.3N  56.0W   20.4N  57.1W   21.0N  57.8W
LBAR    18.6N  53.5W   20.6N  54.8W   22.5N  55.7W   23.6N  55.9W
SHIP        44KTS          48KTS          56KTS          62KTS
DSHP        44KTS          48KTS          56KTS          62KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  14.2N LONCUR =  47.9W DIRCUR = 295DEG SPDCUR =  12KT
LATM12 =  13.3N LONM12 =  46.1W DIRM12 = 288DEG SPDM12 =  11KT
LATM24 =  12.1N LONM24 =  43.6W
WNDCUR =   50KT RMAXWD =   20NM WNDM12 =   55KT
CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD =  220NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =  150NM RD34SE =  140NM RD34SW =   40NM RD34NW =  80NM
 
$$
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