000
WTNT80 EGRR 271649

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 27.09.2007

        TROPICAL STORM KAREN      ANALYSED POSITION : 13.5N  47.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122007

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 27.09.2007  13.5N  47.1W     WEAK
 00UTC 28.09.2007  14.5N  48.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 28.09.2007  15.9N  49.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.09.2007  16.8N  50.5W   MODERATE    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 29.09.2007  17.8N  51.5W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 30.09.2007  18.9N  52.1W   MODERATE    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 30.09.2007  19.7N  53.0W   MODERATE        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.10.2007  20.0N  54.5W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 01.10.2007  21.0N  55.7W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 02.10.2007  21.0N  56.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.10.2007  21.0N  57.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.10.2007  20.5N  58.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.10.2007  20.0N  59.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


   TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN   ANALYSED POSITION : 20.5N  95.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132007

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 27.09.2007  20.5N  95.3W     WEAK
 00UTC 28.09.2007  20.8N  95.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 28.09.2007  21.2N  97.1W   MODERATE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 29.09.2007  21.6N  98.7W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 29.09.2007  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

  
 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 271649