000 WHXX01 KWBC 271236 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1236 UTC THU SEP 27 2007 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE THIRTEEN (AL132007) 20070927 1200 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 070927 1200 070928 0000 070928 1200 070929 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 20.6N 95.3W 20.2N 96.7W 19.8N 98.6W 19.6N 101.0W BAMD 20.6N 95.3W 20.3N 96.8W 20.5N 98.5W 21.2N 100.1W BAMM 20.6N 95.3W 20.2N 96.9W 19.9N 99.0W 20.2N 101.2W LBAR 20.6N 95.3W 20.4N 96.5W 20.6N 98.1W 21.1N 100.0W SHIP 30KTS 35KTS 40KTS 47KTS DSHP 30KTS 35KTS 40KTS 32KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 070929 1200 070930 1200 071001 1200 071002 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 19.9N 103.3W 21.6N 106.5W 22.0N 109.6W 21.4N 112.1W BAMD 22.4N 101.4W 25.4N 102.0W 25.8N 101.5W 24.4N 101.1W BAMM 20.8N 103.3W 23.1N 105.2W 23.7N 107.1W 22.9N 108.3W LBAR 22.3N 102.1W 26.3N 104.4W 28.2N 103.4W 27.5N 101.1W SHIP 55KTS 68KTS 73KTS 74KTS DSHP 28KTS 27KTS 27KTS 27KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 20.6N LONCUR = 95.3W DIRCUR = 235DEG SPDCUR = 3KT LATM12 = 21.2N LONM12 = 94.7W DIRM12 = 223DEG SPDM12 = 3KT LATM24 = 21.0N LONM24 = 94.7W WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 35NM WNDM12 = 30KT CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1013MB OUTRAD = 100NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN 000 WHXX01 KWBC 271236 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1236 UTC THU SEP 27 2007 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE KAREN (AL122007) 20070927 1200 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 070927 1200 070928 0000 070928 1200 070929 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 13.5N 46.8W 14.9N 49.6W 16.2N 52.5W 17.3N 54.7W BAMD 13.5N 46.8W 15.2N 48.3W 16.8N 49.5W 18.2N 50.3W BAMM 13.5N 46.8W 14.7N 49.0W 15.7N 50.8W 16.5N 52.3W LBAR 13.5N 46.8W 15.0N 48.4W 16.3N 49.8W 17.3N 50.9W SHIP 55KTS 52KTS 49KTS 46KTS DSHP 55KTS 52KTS 49KTS 46KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 070929 1200 070930 1200 071001 1200 071002 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 17.8N 56.7W 18.9N 59.9W 20.0N 62.6W 20.8N 65.3W BAMD 19.4N 50.9W 22.1N 52.1W 24.8N 53.9W 26.6N 54.9W BAMM 17.1N 53.5W 18.2N 55.5W 19.5N 57.2W 20.0N 58.7W LBAR 18.1N 52.1W 20.2N 53.6W 22.1N 54.1W 23.8N 53.9W SHIP 46KTS 42KTS 45KTS 45KTS DSHP 46KTS 42KTS 45KTS 45KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 13.5N LONCUR = 46.8W DIRCUR = 295DEG SPDCUR = 11KT LATM12 = 12.8N LONM12 = 44.6W DIRM12 = 296DEG SPDM12 = 14KT LATM24 = 11.6N LONM24 = 42.5W WNDCUR = 55KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 60KT CENPRS = 1002MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD = 220NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 170NM RD34SE = 140NM RD34SW = 40NM RD34NW = 100NM $$ NNNN