000
WTNT80 EGRR 261654

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 26.09.2007
   
        TROPICAL STORM KAREN      ANALYSED POSITION : 11.7N  42.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122007

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 26.09.2007  11.7N  42.0W   MODERATE
 00UTC 27.09.2007  12.7N  43.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 27.09.2007  13.9N  45.8W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 28.09.2007  15.2N  47.5W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.09.2007  16.5N  49.2W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 29.09.2007  17.4N  51.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.09.2007  18.1N  52.1W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 30.09.2007  18.9N  53.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 30.09.2007  19.8N  55.4W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 01.10.2007  20.4N  56.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.10.2007  20.9N  57.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 02.10.2007  21.9N  58.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.10.2007  23.0N  60.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY


    TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN   ANALYSED POSITION : 20.5N  94.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132007

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 26.09.2007  20.5N  94.3W     WEAK
 00UTC 27.09.2007  20.9N  94.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 27.09.2007  20.4N  94.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.09.2007  20.9N  94.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.09.2007  21.5N  95.8      WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.09.2007      BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

    
 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 261654