000 WHXX01 KMIA 201857 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1857 UTC THU SEP 20 2007 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE IVO (EP122007) 20070920 1800 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 070920 1800 070921 0600 070921 1800 070922 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 17.5N 113.0W 18.7N 113.9W 20.3N 114.8W 22.0N 115.0W BAMD 17.5N 113.0W 18.6N 113.6W 20.0N 113.8W 21.7N 113.8W BAMM 17.5N 113.0W 18.9N 113.3W 20.4N 113.5W 22.1N 113.6W LBAR 17.5N 113.0W 18.8N 113.2W 20.5N 113.3W 22.5N 113.2W SHIP 70KTS 72KTS 72KTS 69KTS DSHP 70KTS 72KTS 72KTS 69KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 070922 1800 070923 1800 070924 1800 070925 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 23.6N 115.2W 26.2N 114.9W 28.6N 114.9W 31.1N 116.1W BAMD 23.6N 113.7W 28.1N 111.3W 32.3N 104.5W 33.0N 96.7W BAMM 23.8N 113.6W 27.3N 112.3W 30.6N 109.3W 32.5N 107.2W LBAR 24.9N 112.7W 31.5N 109.4W 39.3N 102.1W .0N .0W SHIP 64KTS 56KTS 45KTS 42KTS DSHP 64KTS 56KTS 40KTS 39KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 17.5N LONCUR = 113.0W DIRCUR = 335DEG SPDCUR = 6KT LATM12 = 16.2N LONM12 = 112.4W DIRM12 = 326DEG SPDM12 = 6KT LATM24 = 15.2N LONM24 = 111.6W WNDCUR = 70KT RMAXWD = 15NM WNDM12 = 65KT CENPRS = 981MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 190NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 75NM RD34SE = 65NM RD34SW = 30NM RD34NW = 60NM $$ NNNN