000
WTNT80 EGRR 201659

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 20.09.2007

             HURRICANE IVO        ANALYSED POSITION : 16.7N 112.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP122007

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 20.09.2007  16.7N 112.7W   MODERATE
 00UTC 21.09.2007  18.3N 112.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 21.09.2007  19.3N 113.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 22.09.2007  20.4N 112.1W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 22.09.2007  21.1N 111.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.09.2007  21.8N 110.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 23.09.2007  22.7N 110.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.09.2007  24.5N 109.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.09.2007  25.9N 109.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 25.09.2007  26.8N 110.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 25.09.2007  27.6N 111.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 26.09.2007  28.0N 111.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 26.09.2007  31.0N 111.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN   ANALYSED POSITION : 17.8N 129.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP132007

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 20.09.2007  17.8N 129.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 21.09.2007  18.3N 130.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.09.2007  18.5N 131.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.09.2007  18.0N 131.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 22.09.2007  16.8N 131.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 23.09.2007  16.7N 131.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 23.09.2007  18.9N 125.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.09.2007  22.4N 121.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.09.2007        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 28.8N  86.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 21.09.2007  28.8N  86.2W     WEAK
 00UTC 22.09.2007  29.5N  87.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.09.2007  29.7N  89.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.09.2007  29.9N  89.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.09.2007  31.6N  92.0W     WEAK      WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 24.09.2007        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

            
 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 201659