000
WTNT80 EGRR 191710

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 19.09.2007

        TROPICAL STORM IVO        ANALYSED POSITION : 15.5N 110.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP122007

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 19.09.2007  15.5N 110.6W     WEAK
 00UTC 20.09.2007  16.2N 112.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 20.09.2007  17.1N 113.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 21.09.2007  18.5N 113.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 21.09.2007  20.3N 113.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.09.2007  22.2N 112.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.09.2007  23.4N 111.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 23.09.2007  25.9N 110.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.09.2007  27.6N 110.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 24.09.2007  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  36 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 27.1N  83.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 21.09.2007  27.1N  83.9W     WEAK
 12UTC 21.09.2007  29.3N  85.8W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 22.09.2007  30.0N  87.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.09.2007  30.1N  88.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.09.2007  30.6N  90.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 23.09.2007  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 191710