000
WTNT80 EGRR 160540

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 16.09.2007

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID     ANALYSED POSITION : 16.1N  55.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL082007

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 16.09.2007  16.1N  55.7W     WEAK
 12UTC 16.09.2007  17.0N  56.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.09.2007  17.8N  59.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.09.2007  18.6N  59.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.09.2007  20.1N  61.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.09.2007  20.4N  61.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.09.2007  20.4N  63.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.09.2007  21.2N  63.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.09.2007  21.3N  64.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.09.2007  21.6N  63.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.09.2007  22.6N  65.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.09.2007  23.4N  65.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.09.2007  23.1N  64.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION :
12.6N 124.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 16.09.2007  12.6N 124.7W     WEAK
 12UTC 16.09.2007  14.1N 123.1W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 17.09.2007  15.1N 123.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.09.2007  14.3N 128.1W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 18.09.2007  14.3N 126.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.09.2007  15.1N 128.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.09.2007  15.5N 130.1W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 19.09.2007  16.5N 130.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.09.2007  17.8N 130.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.09.2007  18.7N 129.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.09.2007  20.2N 129.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.09.2007  21.2N 127.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.09.2007  22.1N 126.7W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 10.3N 100.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 16.09.2007  10.3N 100.3W     WEAK
 00UTC 17.09.2007  10.6N 102.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.09.2007  11.4N 102.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 18.09.2007  12.2N 105.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.09.2007  12.7N 107.2W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 19.09.2007  13.0N 108.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.09.2007  14.5N 110.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.09.2007  14.6N 111.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.09.2007  14.7N 112.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.09.2007  15.1N 113.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.09.2007  14.5N 113.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE  
 00UTC 22.09.2007      BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

            
 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 160540