000
WTNT80 EGRR 071638

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 07.09.2007

    
    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION :
28.8N  70.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 07.09.2007  28.8N  70.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 08.09.2007  30.2N  71.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.09.2007  31.7N  74.0W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.09.2007  32.1N  76.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.09.2007  33.5N  76.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.09.2007  34.6N  76.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.09.2007  35.7N  74.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.09.2007  36.6N  72.8W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.09.2007  37.6N  69.1W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.09.2007  37.8N  64.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.09.2007  37.4N  59.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.09.2007  36.6N  56.4W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 13.09.2007  36.9N  53.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 12.6N  28.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 09.09.2007  12.6N  28.9W     WEAK
 00UTC 10.09.2007  12.8N  30.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.09.2007  13.6N  31.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.09.2007  14.7N  32.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.09.2007  15.3N  32.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.09.2007  17.3N  33.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.09.2007  19.6N  34.7W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.09.2007  21.2N  35.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.09.2007  22.6N  37.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

             
 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 071638