000
WTNT80 EGRR 190456

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 19.08.2007

             HURRICANE DEAN       ANALYSED POSITION : 16.2N  71.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL042007

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 19.08.2007  16.2N  71.0W   INTENSE
 12UTC 19.08.2007  16.7N  74.1W   INTENSE     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 20.08.2007  17.1N  77.2W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 20.08.2007  17.8N  81.1W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 21.08.2007  18.1N  84.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 21.08.2007  18.9N  88.1W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 22.08.2007  19.7N  92.3W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.08.2007  20.4N  95.3W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 23.08.2007  21.6N  98.7W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 23.08.2007        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH
 
    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION :
18.4N 111.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 19.08.2007  18.4N 111.6W     WEAK
 12UTC 19.08.2007  20.1N 112.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.08.2007  20.1N 114.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.08.2007  22.1N 118.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 21.08.2007  22.6N 119.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.08.2007        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

 
 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 190456