000
WTNT80 EGRR 181733

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 18.08.2007

             HURRICANE DEAN       ANALYSED POSITION : 15.5N  67.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL042007

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 18.08.2007  15.5N  67.7W    STRONG
 00UTC 19.08.2007  16.2N  70.7W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 19.08.2007  17.5N  74.4W   INTENSE     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 20.08.2007  17.8N  78.5W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 20.08.2007  18.7N  81.8W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 21.08.2007  18.9N  85.2W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 21.08.2007  19.7N  88.2W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 22.08.2007  20.5N  92.5W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 22.08.2007  21.3N  95.5W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 23.08.2007  21.8N  98.9W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 23.08.2007  22.3N 103.2W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 24.08.2007  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

    
    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION :
17.1N 110.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 18.08.2007  17.1N 110.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 19.08.2007  18.5N 111.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.08.2007  19.3N 113.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.08.2007  21.0N 115.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.08.2007  22.0N 117.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 21.08.2007  22.0N 118.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 21.08.2007  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH
          
                          
 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 181733