000
WTNT80 EGRR 171743

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC
 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 17.08.2007

             HURRICANE DEAN       ANALYSED POSITION : 14.8N  61.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL042007

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 17.08.2007  14.8N  61.7W   MODERATE
 00UTC 18.08.2007  15.1N  65.0W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 18.08.2007  15.9N  68.0W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.08.2007  16.3N  71.2W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 19.08.2007  18.1N  75.1W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.08.2007  18.6N  79.6W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 20.08.2007  19.0N  83.4W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 21.08.2007  19.3N  86.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 21.08.2007  20.4N  89.6W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 22.08.2007  21.6N  93.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.08.2007  22.0N  95.9W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 23.08.2007  24.0N  98.3W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 23.08.2007  26.1N 100.7W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
  
             
             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 17.4N 111.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 18.08.2007  17.4N 111.2W     WEAK
 00UTC 19.08.2007  17.8N 111.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 19.08.2007  19.0N 112.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.08.2007  21.1N 115.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 20.08.2007        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH
             
             
 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 171743