000
WTNT80 EGRR 161700

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 16.08.2007

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLOSSIE    ANALYSED POSITION : 16.8N 161.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP092007

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 16.08.2007  16.8N 161.2W     WEAK
 00UTC 17.08.2007  16.5N 164.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.08.2007       BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


             HURRICANE DEAN       ANALYSED POSITION : 13.4N  53.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL042007

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 16.08.2007  13.4N  53.0W   MODERATE
 00UTC 17.08.2007  14.4N  57.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.08.2007  14.8N  61.0W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 18.08.2007  15.4N  64.5W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.08.2007  16.2N  68.4W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.08.2007  16.3N  71.8W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 19.08.2007  17.4N  75.5W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.08.2007  18.2N  79.5W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 20.08.2007  19.0N  83.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 21.08.2007  19.7N  86.3W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 21.08.2007  20.9N  88.5W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 22.08.2007  23.0N  91.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.08.2007  24.6N  93.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN       ANALYSED POSITION : 28.1N  97.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL052007

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 16.08.2007  28.1N  97.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.08.2007       BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

  
 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 161700