000 WHXX01 KWBC 160647 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0647 UTC THU AUG 16 2007 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEAN (AL042007) 20070816 0600 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 070816 0600 070816 1800 070817 0600 070817 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 13.2N 51.3W 14.6N 56.6W 15.6N 62.0W 16.3N 66.9W BAMD 13.2N 51.3W 14.1N 55.2W 14.9N 58.7W 15.6N 62.1W BAMM 13.2N 51.3W 14.3N 56.0W 15.0N 60.5W 15.4N 64.6W LBAR 13.2N 51.3W 13.8N 55.2W 14.5N 59.6W 15.0N 63.8W SHIP 65KTS 74KTS 82KTS 93KTS DSHP 65KTS 74KTS 82KTS 93KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 070818 0600 070819 0600 070820 0600 070821 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 16.3N 71.1W 15.9N 78.2W 15.8N 83.6W 17.6N 87.4W BAMD 16.3N 65.5W 17.5N 72.8W 19.0N 80.9W 21.4N 88.8W BAMM 15.7N 68.5W 16.2N 75.7W 16.9N 82.9W 18.1N 88.6W LBAR 15.4N 67.8W 16.7N 74.6W .0N .0W .0N .0W SHIP 100KTS 101KTS 111KTS 113KTS DSHP 100KTS 101KTS 111KTS 113KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 13.2N LONCUR = 51.3W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR = 21KT LATM12 = 12.8N LONM12 = 47.0W DIRM12 = 280DEG SPDM12 = 20KT LATM24 = 12.0N LONM24 = 43.4W WNDCUR = 65KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 55KT CENPRS = 987MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 60NM RD34SE = 45NM RD34SW = 30NM RD34NW = 45NM $$ NNNN