000 WHXX01 KWBC 160048 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0048 UTC THU AUG 16 2007 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE ERIN (AL052007) 20070816 0000 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 070816 0000 070816 1200 070817 0000 070817 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 26.3N 95.2W 27.2N 97.1W 28.0N 98.9W 28.9N 100.5W BAMD 26.3N 95.2W 27.1N 97.2W 27.9N 99.1W 28.5N 100.8W BAMM 26.3N 95.2W 27.0N 97.2W 27.9N 99.3W 28.4N 101.0W LBAR 26.3N 95.2W 27.5N 97.6W 28.9N 99.6W 30.2N 101.4W SHIP 35KTS 43KTS 52KTS 58KTS DSHP 35KTS 43KTS 32KTS 29KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 070818 0000 070819 0000 070820 0000 070821 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 29.7N 101.9W 31.3N 103.3W 32.0N 103.9W 32.2N 105.1W BAMD 29.2N 102.3W 30.1N 103.5W 29.3N 105.4W 28.2N 109.7W BAMM 29.1N 102.5W 29.8N 104.0W 29.4N 106.1W 28.5N 109.7W LBAR 31.4N 102.7W 33.6N 104.0W 35.8N 102.8W 36.8N 99.4W SHIP 64KTS 68KTS 60KTS 54KTS DSHP 27KTS 27KTS 27KTS 27KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 26.3N LONCUR = 95.2W DIRCUR = 300DEG SPDCUR = 12KT LATM12 = 25.2N LONM12 = 92.9W DIRM12 = 306DEG SPDM12 = 12KT LATM24 = 23.7N LONM24 = 90.7W WNDCUR = 35KT RMAXWD = 60NM WNDM12 = 30KT CENPRS = 1003MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 75NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN