000
WTNT80 EGRR 131749

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 13.08.2007

             HURRICANE FLOSSIE    ANALYSED POSITION : 14.8N 148.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP092007

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 13.08.2007  14.8N 148.4W   MODERATE
 00UTC 14.08.2007  15.8N 151.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.08.2007  16.6N 153.7W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 15.08.2007  16.2N 156.1W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 15.08.2007  16.7N 158.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 16.08.2007  17.5N 160.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 16.08.2007  18.5N 162.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.08.2007  19.4N 164.9W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.08.2007      BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR       ANALYSED POSITION : 11.8N  32.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL042007

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 13.08.2007  11.8N  32.2W     WEAK
 00UTC 14.08.2007  11.1N  33.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 14.08.2007  11.3N  36.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 15.08.2007  11.8N  39.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 15.08.2007  11.1N  42.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.08.2007  12.6N  44.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 16.08.2007  12.2N  48.1W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.08.2007  13.0N  51.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.08.2007  13.3N  54.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.08.2007  14.1N  56.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.08.2007  15.9N  58.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.08.2007  17.4N  60.9W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 19.08.2007  18.9N  63.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

    
 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 131749