000 WTNT80 EGRR 120527 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 12.08.2007 HURRICANE FLOSSIE ANALYSED POSITION : 13.3N 141.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP092007 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 12.08.2007 13.3N 141.5W MODERATE 12UTC 12.08.2007 14.0N 143.7W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.08.2007 14.4N 146.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.08.2007 15.1N 148.3W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 14.08.2007 15.7N 150.9W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 14.08.2007 15.2N 153.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.08.2007 15.2N 156.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.08.2007 15.8N 160.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 16.08.2007 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 10.9N 28.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 13.08.2007 10.9N 28.5W WEAK 12UTC 13.08.2007 11.0N 32.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.08.2007 12.2N 35.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.08.2007 13.0N 39.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.08.2007 13.7N 42.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.08.2007 14.8N 46.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.08.2007 15.8N 50.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.08.2007 16.6N 53.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.08.2007 17.8N 57.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.08.2007 18.6N 60.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.08.2007 19.3N 63.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 120527