000
WTNT80 EGRR 030520

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 03.08.2007

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERICK      ANALYSED POSITION : 13.3N 131.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP082007

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 03.08.2007  13.3N 131.4W     WEAK
 12UTC 03.08.2007  14.0N 133.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.08.2007  13.6N 135.2W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.08.2007  13.7N 136.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.08.2007  13.3N 138.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 05.08.2007  13.3N 140.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.08.2007        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

    

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 :  11.2N 105.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 04.08.2007  11.2N 105.1W     WEAK
 12UTC 04.08.2007  10.3N 107.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.08.2007  12.9N 107.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.08.2007  12.9N 110.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 06.08.2007  13.9N 111.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.08.2007  14.4N 114.0W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.08.2007  14.8N 115.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.08.2007  14.5N 116.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.08.2007  14.7N 118.2W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 08.08.2007  14.8N 118.8W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.08.2007  14.9N 120.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

             
 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 030520