000
WHXX01 KWBC 021838
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1838 UTC THU AUG 2 2007
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL992007) 20070802 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        070802  1800   070803  0600   070803  1800   070804  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    13.0N  67.0W   14.6N  71.6W   16.3N  76.6W   17.6N  81.5W
BAMD    13.0N  67.0W   13.9N  70.4W   14.8N  74.0W   15.8N  77.8W
BAMM    13.0N  67.0W   14.1N  71.1W   15.6N  75.4W   16.8N  79.9W
LBAR    13.0N  67.0W   13.6N  71.1W   14.6N  75.5W   15.7N  79.9W
SHIP        30KTS          38KTS          44KTS          52KTS
DSHP        30KTS          38KTS          44KTS          52KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        070804  1800   070805  1800   070806  1800   070807  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    18.7N  85.8W   20.6N  93.2W   22.5N  97.8W   24.2N 101.0W
BAMD    16.6N  81.6W   17.7N  89.1W   17.9N  95.5W   17.4N 100.8W
BAMM    18.0N  84.0W   19.8N  91.4W   21.3N  96.6W   22.0N 100.6W
LBAR    17.2N  84.0W   20.2N  90.7W     .0N    .0W     .0N    .0W
SHIP        60KTS          73KTS          82KTS          89KTS
DSHP        60KTS          45KTS          54KTS          29KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  13.0N LONCUR =  67.0W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR =  22KT
LATM12 =  12.6N LONM12 =  62.2W DIRM12 = 274DEG SPDM12 =  24KT
LATM24 =  12.1N LONM24 =  58.1W
WNDCUR =   30KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1010MB OUTPRS = 1013MB OUTRAD =  125NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
NNNN


000
WHXX01 KMIA 021838
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1838 UTC THU AUG 2 2007
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE ERICK (EP082007) 20070802 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        070802  1800   070803  0600   070803  1800   070804  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    13.6N 130.8W   14.2N 132.7W   14.7N 134.6W   14.9N 136.5W
BAMD    13.6N 130.8W   13.9N 132.8W   14.2N 134.8W   14.6N 136.7W
BAMM    13.6N 130.8W   13.9N 132.9W   14.2N 135.0W   14.5N 137.0W
LBAR    13.6N 130.8W   14.0N 133.1W   15.0N 135.6W   16.0N 138.1W
SHIP        20KTS          15KTS          16KTS          16KTS
DSHP        20KTS          15KTS          16KTS          16KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        070804  1800   070805  1800   070806  1800   070807  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.9N 138.6W   14.1N 142.8W   14.0N 147.0W   14.2N 150.1W
BAMD    14.8N 138.7W   15.1N 142.4W   15.2N 145.7W   15.6N 148.7W
BAMM    14.5N 139.2W   14.2N 143.8W   13.9N 147.8W   13.9N 151.5W
LBAR    16.8N 140.4W   17.6N 144.4W   17.3N 147.9W   16.7N 151.1W
SHIP        18KTS          22KTS          32KTS          40KTS
DSHP        18KTS          22KTS          32KTS          40KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  13.6N LONCUR = 130.8W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR =   9KT
LATM12 =  13.5N LONM12 = 128.8W DIRM12 = 273DEG SPDM12 =   9KT
LATM24 =  13.3N LONM24 = 126.8W
WNDCUR =   20KT RMAXWD =   30NM WNDM12 =   35KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD =  160NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
NNNN