000 WHXX01 KMIA 021247 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1247 UTC THU AUG 2 2007 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE ERICK (EP082007) 20070802 1200 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 070802 1200 070803 0000 070803 1200 070804 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 13.5N 129.7W 14.1N 131.5W 14.5N 133.2W 14.8N 135.0W BAMD 13.5N 129.7W 13.8N 131.8W 14.1N 133.7W 14.5N 135.6W BAMM 13.5N 129.7W 13.9N 131.6W 14.2N 133.5W 14.8N 135.4W LBAR 13.5N 129.7W 13.8N 131.8W 14.6N 134.4W 15.7N 136.9W SHIP 30KTS 28KTS 29KTS 30KTS DSHP 30KTS 28KTS 29KTS 30KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 070804 1200 070805 1200 070806 1200 070807 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 14.8N 137.0W 14.3N 141.0W 13.8N 144.8W 14.1N 147.5W BAMD 14.9N 137.4W 15.5N 141.2W 15.8N 144.5W 16.1N 147.0W BAMM 15.1N 137.4W 15.5N 141.7W 15.6N 146.0W 15.9N 149.8W LBAR 16.6N 139.2W 17.7N 143.4W 17.4N 147.1W 16.7N 151.5W SHIP 33KTS 36KTS 43KTS 47KTS DSHP 33KTS 36KTS 43KTS 47KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 13.5N LONCUR = 129.7W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR = 9KT LATM12 = 13.4N LONM12 = 127.9W DIRM12 = 276DEG SPDM12 = 10KT LATM24 = 13.1N LONM24 = 125.7W WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 35KT CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN 000 WHXX01 KWBC 021250 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1250 UTC THU AUG 2 2007 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL992007) 20070802 1200 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 070802 1200 070803 0000 070803 1200 070804 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 12.6N 65.0W 14.0N 69.6W 15.6N 74.8W 17.1N 79.7W BAMD 12.6N 65.0W 13.3N 68.5W 14.1N 72.0W 14.9N 75.6W BAMM 12.6N 65.0W 13.7N 69.2W 14.8N 73.6W 16.2N 78.0W LBAR 12.6N 65.0W 13.2N 69.1W 14.1N 73.4W 15.1N 77.7W SHIP 25KTS 29KTS 33KTS 40KTS DSHP 25KTS 29KTS 33KTS 40KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 070804 1200 070805 1200 070806 1200 070807 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 18.3N 84.2W 20.1N 91.9W 21.8N 96.9W 23.7N 100.2W BAMD 15.5N 79.4W 16.2N 86.8W 16.3N 93.6W 15.9N 99.3W BAMM 17.3N 82.2W 19.0N 89.7W 20.4N 95.3W 21.2N 99.5W LBAR 16.4N 81.7W 19.1N 88.7W .0N .0W .0N .0W SHIP 47KTS 63KTS 76KTS 85KTS DSHP 47KTS 46KTS 47KTS 30KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 12.6N LONCUR = 65.0W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR = 21KT LATM12 = 12.5N LONM12 = 59.9W DIRM12 = 278DEG SPDM12 = 20KT LATM24 = 11.8N LONM24 = 56.4W WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 50NM WNDM12 = 25KT CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 125NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN