000 WHXX01 KMIA 020700 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0700 UTC THU AUG 2 2007 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE ERICK (EP082007) 20070802 0600 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 070802 0600 070802 1800 070803 0600 070803 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 13.3N 129.5W 14.0N 131.3W 14.5N 133.1W 15.0N 134.9W BAMD 13.3N 129.5W 13.5N 131.6W 13.9N 133.7W 14.3N 135.7W BAMM 13.3N 129.5W 13.7N 131.3W 14.1N 133.2W 14.7N 135.2W LBAR 13.3N 129.5W 13.6N 132.1W 14.5N 135.0W 15.5N 137.9W SHIP 35KTS 37KTS 40KTS 42KTS DSHP 35KTS 37KTS 40KTS 42KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 070804 0600 070805 0600 070806 0600 070807 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 15.3N 136.9W 15.3N 141.4W 14.9N 146.1W 15.1N 150.4W BAMD 14.7N 137.7W 15.3N 141.8W 15.6N 145.7W 15.9N 149.2W BAMM 15.3N 137.2W 16.0N 141.8W 16.3N 146.8W 16.6N 151.6W LBAR 16.6N 140.7W 17.9N 145.6W 17.7N 150.1W 16.7N 154.7W SHIP 44KTS 45KTS 46KTS 48KTS DSHP 44KTS 45KTS 46KTS 48KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 13.3N LONCUR = 129.5W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR = 12KT LATM12 = 13.3N LONM12 = 126.8W DIRM12 = 275DEG SPDM12 = 12KT LATM24 = 13.0N LONM24 = 124.8W WNDCUR = 35KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 35KT CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 75NM RD34NW = 30NM $$ NNNN 000 WHXX01 KWBC 020707 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0707 UTC THU AUG 2 2007 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL992007) 20070802 0600 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 070802 0600 070802 1800 070803 0600 070803 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 12.6N 61.2W 13.8N 65.9W 15.1N 71.0W 16.7N 76.4W BAMD 12.6N 61.2W 13.1N 64.7W 13.8N 68.1W 14.5N 71.7W BAMM 12.6N 61.2W 13.5N 65.1W 14.4N 69.0W 15.6N 73.1W LBAR 12.6N 61.2W 13.1N 64.5W 13.7N 68.5W 14.4N 72.4W SHIP 25KTS 28KTS 34KTS 39KTS DSHP 25KTS 28KTS 34KTS 39KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 070804 0600 070805 0600 070806 0600 070807 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 18.0N 81.4W 19.8N 89.6W 21.8N 95.2W 23.9N 98.7W BAMD 15.1N 75.4W 15.8N 82.9W 15.7N 90.1W 15.4N 96.0W BAMM 16.6N 77.3W 18.2N 85.1W 19.4N 91.6W 20.2N 96.7W LBAR 15.3N 76.2W 17.0N 83.2W .0N .0W .0N .0W SHIP 47KTS 63KTS 76KTS 81KTS DSHP 47KTS 63KTS 65KTS 49KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 12.6N LONCUR = 61.2W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR = 16KT LATM12 = 12.1N LONM12 = 58.1W DIRM12 = 282DEG SPDM12 = 17KT LATM24 = 11.5N LONM24 = 54.7W WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 50NM WNDM12 = 25KT CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 125NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN