000 WHXX04 KWBC 020520 CHGQLM ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR TROPICAL STORM ERICK 08E INITIAL TIME 0Z AUG 2 DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECAST. FORECAST STORM POSITION HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT) 0 13.3 128.0 275./11.1 6 13.4 128.9 280./ 8.7 12 13.6 129.6 289./ 6.7 18 13.8 130.3 280./ 7.6 24 14.0 130.8 290./ 5.1 30 14.5 131.7 301./10.0 36 14.8 132.7 286./ 9.9 42 15.1 133.2 302./ 6.5 48 15.5 134.3 291./10.7 54 15.8 135.2 287./ 8.9 60 16.0 136.4 279./11.8 66 15.9 137.5 267./11.2 72 16.0 138.6 275./10.2 78 16.1 139.7 272./10.9 84 16.0 140.9 267./11.3 90 16.2 142.3 277./13.4 96 16.2 143.6 272./12.8 102 16.2 145.0 271./13.0 108 16.2 146.6 269./14.9 114 16.3 147.8 272./12.4 120 16.5 149.2 281./13.1 126 16.7 150.6 276./13.8 000 WHXX04 KWBC 020521 CHGQLM ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST 99L INITIAL TIME 0Z AUG 2 DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECAST. FORECAST STORM POSITION HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT) 0 12.1 60.0 280./15.9 6 11.8 62.4 264./24.0 12 12.8 64.5 294./22.3 18 12.8 67.2 271./26.2 STORM DISSIPATED AT 18 HRS AT THE ABOVE PSN. 000 WTNT80 EGRR 020550 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 02.08.2007 TROPICAL STORM ERICK ANALYSED POSITION : 14.0N 127.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP082007 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 02.08.2007 14.0N 127.4W WEAK 12UTC 02.08.2007 14.0N 130.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.08.2007 14.0N 132.1W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 03.08.2007 14.1N 135.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.08.2007 15.2N 136.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 04.08.2007 15.5N 139.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.08.2007 14.8N 140.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 05.08.2007 14.7N 142.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 06.08.2007 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 020550