000 WHXX04 KWBC 011721 CHGQLM ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR TROPICAL STORM ERICK 08E INITIAL TIME 12Z AUG 1 DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECAST. FORECAST STORM POSITION HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT) 0 13.2 125.5 275./ 7.0 6 13.3 125.9 281./ 4.6 12 13.4 126.7 279./ 7.8 18 13.8 127.4 296./ 7.1 24 13.9 128.2 277./ 7.7 30 14.2 128.5 312./ 4.7 36 14.5 129.2 298./ 7.6 42 14.7 130.0 279./ 7.6 48 15.0 130.9 289./ 9.7 54 15.2 131.8 283./ 8.4 60 15.4 132.7 281./ 8.9 66 15.5 133.8 275./11.0 72 15.5 134.9 272./10.6 78 15.6 135.9 275./ 9.6 84 15.7 137.0 275./10.1 90 15.6 138.1 265./11.0 96 15.5 139.4 265./12.3 102 15.3 140.6 264./11.3 108 15.4 141.6 272./10.5 114 15.3 142.7 265./10.4 120 15.4 143.9 275./11.1 126 15.6 144.9 279./ 9.9 000 WHXX04 KWBC 011721 CHGQLM ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST 99L INITIAL TIME 12Z AUG 1 DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECAST. FORECAST STORM POSITION HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT) 0 11.6 56.6 280./14.9 6 12.3 57.7 302./13.0 12 11.6 60.2 254./25.3 18 12.5 62.4 292./23.3 24 12.7 65.2 274./27.5 30 12.5 67.8 265./25.2 36 11.7 69.0 239./14.5 STORM DISSIPATED AT 36 HRS AT THE ABOVE PSN. 000 WTNT80 EGRR 011757 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 01.08.2007 TROPICAL STORM ERICK ANALYSED POSITION : 12.5N 125.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP082007 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 01.08.2007 12.5N 125.6W WEAK 00UTC 02.08.2007 13.4N 126.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 02.08.2007 13.3N 128.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.08.2007 14.3N 130.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.08.2007 14.5N 133.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.08.2007 15.3N 135.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.08.2007 15.6N 137.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.08.2007 15.6N 139.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 05.08.2007 15.4N 141.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 06.08.2007 15.2N 143.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.08.2007 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 011757