000 WTNT80 EGRR 221802 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 22.07.2007 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E ANALYSED POSITION : 12.1N 106.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072007 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 22.07.2007 12.1N 106.6W MODERATE 00UTC 23.07.2007 13.0N 106.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.07.2007 14.1N 108.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.07.2007 14.8N 110.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 24.07.2007 15.8N 110.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.07.2007 17.1N 111.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 25.07.2007 18.2N 111.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 26.07.2007 19.3N 112.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 26.07.2007 20.0N 114.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 27.07.2007 20.3N 115.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.07.2007 21.1N 116.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.07.2007 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME ANALYSED POSITION : 16.3N 164.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062007 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 22.07.2007 16.3N 164.5W WEAK 00UTC 23.07.2007 17.1N 166.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.07.2007 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 17.4N 170.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 23.07.2007 17.4N 170.7W WEAK 00UTC 24.07.2007 16.8N 174.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.07.2007 17.8N 178.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.07.2007 18.1N 178.0E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.07.2007 18.5N 175.2E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.07.2007 19.3N 172.3E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.07.2007 18.9N 169.6E WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 27.07.2007 19.8N 167.5E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.07.2007 20.7N 165.7E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.07.2007 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 221802 000 WHXX01 KMIA 221851 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1851 UTC SUN JUL 22 2007 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVEN (EP072007) 20070722 1800 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 070722 1800 070723 0600 070723 1800 070724 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMD 12.8N 106.8W 13.1N 108.6W 13.3N 110.1W 13.4N 111.2W BAMM 12.8N 106.8W 13.6N 108.1W 14.2N 109.0W 14.7N 109.8W ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 070724 1800 070725 1800 070726 1800 070727 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMD 13.5N 111.7W 14.7N 111.7W 17.8N 113.0W 20.8N 116.0W BAMM 15.4N 110.3W 17.4N 111.9W 19.9N 115.4W 21.9N 120.0W ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 12.8N LONCUR = 106.8W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR = 7KT LATM12 = 12.6N LONM12 = 105.2W DIRM12 = 279DEG SPDM12 = 6KT LATM24 = 12.0N LONM24 = 103.0W WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 60NM WNDM12 = 25KT CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 180NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN 000 WHXX01 KMIA 221856 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1856 UTC SUN JUL 22 2007 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVEN (EP072007) 20070722 1800 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 070722 1800 070723 0600 070723 1800 070724 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 12.8N 106.8W 13.7N 108.0W 14.4N 108.6W 15.1N 109.0W BAMD 12.8N 106.8W 13.1N 108.6W 13.3N 110.1W 13.4N 111.2W BAMM 12.8N 106.8W 13.6N 108.1W 14.2N 109.0W 14.7N 109.8W LBAR 12.8N 106.8W 13.2N 108.5W 13.7N 110.3W 14.2N 112.1W SHIP 30KTS 34KTS 39KTS 45KTS DSHP 30KTS 34KTS 39KTS 45KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 070724 1800 070725 1800 070726 1800 070727 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 15.9N 109.3W 18.4N 110.9W 21.5N 114.6W 23.5N 119.5W BAMD 13.5N 111.7W 14.7N 111.7W 17.8N 113.0W 20.8N 116.0W BAMM 15.4N 110.3W 17.4N 111.9W 19.9N 115.4W 21.9N 120.0W LBAR 14.6N 113.6W 15.8N 116.5W 17.8N 119.9W 20.4N 124.0W SHIP 49KTS 54KTS 55KTS 48KTS DSHP 49KTS 54KTS 55KTS 48KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 12.8N LONCUR = 106.8W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR = 7KT LATM12 = 12.6N LONM12 = 105.2W DIRM12 = 279DEG SPDM12 = 6KT LATM24 = 12.0N LONM24 = 103.0W WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 60NM WNDM12 = 25KT CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 180NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN