000
WTNT80 EGRR 211711

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 21.07.2007

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME      ANALYSED POSITION : 16.0N 157.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062007

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 21.07.2007  16.0N 157.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 22.07.2007  15.5N 160.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.07.2007  16.0N 163.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 23.07.2007  16.4N 167.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.07.2007  15.7N 171.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 24.07.2007  15.8N 175.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.07.2007        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 13.7N 108.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 23.07.2007  13.7N 108.2W     WEAK
 00UTC 24.07.2007  15.6N 109.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.07.2007  17.1N 109.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.07.2007  18.2N 109.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 25.07.2007  20.1N 110.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 26.07.2007  20.9N 110.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.07.2007        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 211711


000
WHXX04 KWBC 211719
CHGQLM
ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR

TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME     06E

INITIAL TIME  12Z JUL 21

DISCLAIMER ...  THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE.  IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.  PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.


FORECAST STORM POSITION

HOUR        LATITUDE        LONGITUDE        HEADING/SPEED(KT)

   0            15.8            157.5           265./18.0
   6            15.9            159.4           274./17.9
  12            15.8            161.0           263./16.0
  18            15.7            162.7           268./16.6
  24            15.6            164.5           268./17.1
  30            15.6            166.2           268./16.6
  36            15.6            167.9           271./15.6
  42            15.5            169.6           267./16.9
  48            15.6            171.3           274./16.6
  54            15.8            173.2           277./18.6
  60            16.6            175.0           292./18.5
  66            17.0            176.9           283./18.1

STORM DISSIPATED AT  66 HRS AT THE ABOVE PSN.