000 WTNT80 EGRR 201802 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 20.07.2007 TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME ANALYSED POSITION : 16.6N 149.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062007 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 20.07.2007 16.6N 149.7W MODERATE 00UTC 21.07.2007 16.0N 152.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.07.2007 15.5N 155.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 22.07.2007 15.7N 159.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 22.07.2007 15.3N 162.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 23.07.2007 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 11.4N 101.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 21.07.2007 11.4N 101.4W WEAK 00UTC 22.07.2007 12.9N 103.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 22.07.2007 12.6N 104.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.07.2007 13.0N 106.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.07.2007 14.5N 107.3W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 24.07.2007 15.9N 108.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.07.2007 16.7N 109.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.07.2007 17.8N 109.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.07.2007 18.9N 110.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.07.2007 19.2N 111.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 26.07.2007 19.4N 111.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 201802 000 WHXX01 KMIA 201846 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 1846 UTC FRI JUL 20 2007 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO CPHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. CENTRAL PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE COSME (EP062007) 20070720 1800 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 070720 1800 070721 0600 070721 1800 070722 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 16.5N 151.8W 16.8N 155.1W 16.9N 158.5W 17.1N 161.7W BAMD 16.5N 151.8W 16.7N 154.0W 16.9N 156.0W 17.2N 157.7W BAMM 16.5N 151.8W 16.9N 154.4W 17.1N 157.0W 17.2N 159.4W LBAR 16.5N 151.8W 16.9N 154.6W 17.2N 157.4W 17.6N 160.1W SHIP 30KTS 31KTS 35KTS 38KTS DSHP 30KTS 31KTS 35KTS 38KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 070722 1800 070723 1800 070724 1800 070725 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 17.5N 165.2W 18.4N 172.3W 19.8N 178.4W 21.3N 176.9E BAMD 17.6N 159.4W 19.1N 162.4W 20.7N 165.7W 22.5N 169.6W BAMM 17.4N 162.0W 18.3N 166.8W 19.7N 171.2W 21.9N 175.6W LBAR 17.9N 162.6W 19.1N 166.5W .0N .0W .0N .0W SHIP 39KTS 38KTS 44KTS 50KTS DSHP 39KTS 38KTS 44KTS 50KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 16.5N LONCUR = 151.8W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR = 17KT LATM12 = 16.0N LONM12 = 148.3W DIRM12 = 270DEG SPDM12 = 16KT LATM24 = 15.7N LONM24 = 145.0W WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 30KT CENPRS = 1010MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 90NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN