000 WTNT80 EGRR 141700 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 14.07.2007 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE ANALYSED POSITION : 15.2N 113.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP052007 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 14.07.2007 15.2N 113.9W WEAK 00UTC 15.07.2007 16.0N 116.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.07.2007 16.3N 117.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.07.2007 15.7N 120.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.07.2007 15.8N 123.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.07.2007 15.3N 123.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.07.2007 14.9N 125.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.07.2007 15.1N 125.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 18.07.2007 14.7N 127.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.07.2007 14.2N 128.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.07.2007 13.7N 129.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.07.2007 13.2N 129.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.07.2007 12.6N 129.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 12.3N 126.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 14.07.2007 12.3N 126.2W MODERATE 00UTC 15.07.2007 12.2N 128.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 15.07.2007 12.6N 129.7W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 16.07.2007 12.3N 131.7W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 16.07.2007 13.3N 133.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.07.2007 13.3N 134.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.07.2007 13.3N 136.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.07.2007 13.2N 137.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.07.2007 12.9N 139.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.07.2007 12.8N 140.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.07.2007 12.9N 141.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.07.2007 13.3N 142.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 20.07.2007 13.2N 143.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 141700 000 WHXX04 KWBC 141718 CHGQLM ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE 05E INITIAL TIME 12Z JUL 14 DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECAST. FORECAST STORM POSITION HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT) 0 15.3 114.5 290./11.1 6 15.5 115.4 283./ 8.9 12 16.0 116.6 295./12.0 18 16.2 117.5 285./ 9.1 24 16.4 118.5 277./10.0 30 16.4 119.5 272./ 9.8 36 16.3 120.4 262./ 8.8 42 16.2 121.2 268./ 8.0 48 16.3 122.1 274./ 8.0 54 16.4 123.1 277./ 9.7 60 16.5 124.3 276./12.1 STORM DISSIPATED AT 60 HRS AT THE ABOVE PSN. 000 WHXX04 KWBC 141719 CHGQLM ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST 96E INITIAL TIME 12Z JUL 14 DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECAST. FORECAST STORM POSITION HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT) 0 11.6 125.2 280./ 9.9 6 11.5 126.7 268./14.8 12 8.8 128.1 207./30.3 18 11.0 128.6 348./22.4 24 10.9 128.4 127./ 2.0 30 11.6 128.8 329./ 7.9 36 12.2 129.1 338./ 7.2 42 13.2 129.8 324./12.6 48 13.7 131.4 286./15.9 54 14.0 132.4 284./10.1 60 14.0 133.4 273./ 9.3 66 14.1 134.3 277./ 9.3 72 14.3 135.6 276./12.7 78 14.2 137.1 269./13.7 84 14.2 138.4 269./12.8 90 14.0 139.7 261./12.8 96 13.9 140.9 264./12.1 102 14.0 142.1 275./11.7 108 14.1 143.4 278./12.1 114 14.3 144.7 276./13.1 120 14.5 146.1 277./13.5 126 14.8 147.6 282./14.6