393 AXNT20 KNHC 170551 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0615 UTC Mon Feb 17 2025 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0530 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... ...GULF OF AMERICA GALE-FORCE WIND WARNING... A cold front passes through the Atlantic Ocean, to 28N81W in Florida, to 24N90W 22N95W 18N95W, and then northwestward, inland in Mexico beyond 20N99W. Expect these conditions for the next 21 hours or so: gale-force NW to N winds, and rough seas, from 18N to 21N between 94W and 97W. Rough seas will be elsewhere from 20N to 26N from 91W westward. Expect strong to near gale-force N to NE winds, and rough seas, from 19N to 26N between 92W and 97W, including within 60 nm of the coast of Veracruz in Mexico. The gale-force winds will be slowing down to less than gale-force soon. ...ATLANTIC OCEAN SIGNIFICANT SWELL EVENT... Expect for the next 24 hours or so: strong N to NE winds, and rough seas to very rough seas in N swell, from 20N to 31N between 35W and 60W. Expect also: the wind speeds will be 20 knots or slower, with rough seas in E swell, from 20N to 28N between 59W and 71W; strong NE to E winds, and rough seas, from 06N to 24N between 35W and 62W, including in the Atlantic Ocean exposures and passages. Please, refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast, that is issued by the National Hurricane Center, at the website: www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml, for details. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough passes through the coastal plains of NW Liberia, to 02N16W and 01N21W. The ITCZ continues from 01N21W, to the Equator along 24W/25W, to 02S32W, and 02S40W. Precipitation: widely scattered moderate to isolated strong is from 10N southward from 60W eastward. ...GULF OF AMERICA... Please, refer to the SPECIAL FEATURES section, for details about a Gale-Force Wind Warning, and the conditions of the winds and the seas, elsewhere in the Gulf of America. Fresh to strong northerly winds, and moderate seas, are from 29N northward between the Florida Big Bend and 89W. Fresh northerly winds are elsewhere from the 27N82W 24N90W cold front northward from 90W eastward. Slight seas are in the remainder of the area. A cold front extending from Sarasota, Florida to 23N90W to the western Bay of Campeche near 18N94W will weaken and extend across the Florida Straits to the northern Yucatan offshore waters Mon evening before moving E of the area Mon night. Fresh to strong winds and rough seas will prevail behind the front this evening, except for brief gale-force winds offshore of Veracruz. Winds will diminish from north to south tonight into Mon as the cold front exits the basin and high pressure builds over the southeastern United States. Another cold front will enter the northwestern Gulf by midweek and progress southeastward, leading to fresh to strong winds across northern and western portions of the basin. Gale force winds will be possible west of the front off Tampico, Mexico Wed, and off Veracruz, Mexico Wed night. ...CARIBBEAN SEA... Fresh to strong NE to E winds, and rough seas, are from 17N southward between 67W and 80W. Similar winds, and moderate seas, are elsewhere from 18N southward from 80W eastward. Fresh to strong easterly winds are within 150 nm of the coast of Honduras between 84W and 87W. Moderate NE to E winds, and slight seas, are in the remainder of the Caribbean Sea. The 24-hour rainfall totals in inches, for the period that ended at 17/0000 UTC, are: 0.12 in Curacao. This information is from the Pan American Temperature and Precipitation Tables/MIATPTPAN. Moderate to fresh trade winds and moderate seas are expected across the central, eastern and portions of the SW basin this week, with locally strong to near gale-force winds and rough seas offshore of Colombia. Gentle to moderate winds, and slight to moderate seas, will prevail over the NW Caribbean. Otherwise, rough seas in E swell will prevail the entire week E of the Lesser Antilles. ...ATLANTIC OCEAN... An Atlantic Ocean cold front passes through 31N76W, to Florida close to 28N81W, and then into the central sections of the Gulf of America. Expect for the next 24 hours or so: strong to near gale- force S to SW winds, and rough seas in S to SW swell, are from 28N northward between 70W and 79W; expect also: strong W to NW winds, and rough seas in SW swell, from 29N northward between 77W and 80W. Please, refer to the SPECIAL FEATURES section, for details about the Significant Swell Event for the Atlantic Ocean. A cold front passes through 31N28W 30N30W 25N40W 24N50W 25N56W. A surface trough continues from 25N56W, to 31N62W. Expect for the next 24 hours or so: strong N to NE winds, and rough seas to very rough seas in N swell, from 20N to 31N between 35W and 60W. Expect also: the wind speeds will be 20 knots or slower, with rough seas in E swell, from 20N to 28N between 59W and 71W; strong NE to E winds, and rough seas, from 06N to 24N between 35W and 62W, including in the Atlantic Ocean exposures and passages. Fresh to strong NW winds are from 27N northward between the cold front and 48W. Mostly fresh to some strong SW winds are within 180 nm to the SSE of the cold front. Fresh to strong NE to E winds are from 26N southward between 35W and 60W. Fresh NE winds are from 03N to 24N from 35W eastward. Moderate or slower winds, and moderate seas, are in the remainder of the Atlantic Ocean. A cold front extending from 31N75W to just S of Cape Canaveral will reach from 31N62W to Andros Island and the Florida Keys Mon evening, from 30N55W to 27N61W Tue evening, and move E of 55W Wed morning. Fresh to strong NW to W winds will prevail on either side of the front north of 30N tonight, and diminish on Mon as the front moves eastward. Rough seas over much of the waters E of 70W will prevail through midweek. Otherwise, fresh trade winds will prevail south of 23N through the week. $$ mt/nr