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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Thu Aug 13 2020

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Depression Ten-E, located about 1500 miles west-southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms continues in 
association with a surface trough of low pressure located a few 
hundred miles west-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico.  Even though 
this system has been slow to organize, environmental conditions are 
expected to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression 
is likely to form within the next day or two before the system 
reaches cooler waters later this weekend. This system is forecast to 
move west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph away from the west-central 
coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. A trough of low pressure is located just offshore the Pacific 
coast of Central America.  Conditions are expected to be conducive 
for a low to develop from this trough over the next couple of days, 
and and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend or 
early next week while the system moves generally west-northwestward 
just offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Ten-E are issued under WMO 
header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Ten-E are issued under 
WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5.

Forecaster Brown




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