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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Oct 5 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Nate, located over northeastern Nicaragua.

1. A non-tropical area of low pressure is in the Florida Straits
centered about 100 miles west-southwest of Key West.  This low is
interacting with an upper-level low to produce a broad area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms across the Florida peninsula,
west-central Cuba and adjacent waters.  Upper-level winds are
forecast to be unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation while the
system moves west-northwestward over the eastern Gulf of Mexico
during the next day or two. However, locally heavy rainfall, some
coastal flooding, and strong gusty winds, especially in squalls, are
likely over portions of the Florida peninsula during the next day or
so.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

2. An area of low pressure is forecast to form on a frontal boundary
over the weekend about 900 miles southwest of the Azores.  This low
could acquire some subtropical or tropical characteristics early
next week while it remains nearly stationary over the northeastern
Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Blake