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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Tue Sep 27 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. South of the Southern Coast of Mexico:
An area of low pressure located south of the southern coast of 
Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. 
Environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a 
tropical depression is likely to form during the next few days while 
the system moves westward to west-northwestward off the coast of 
southern and southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

2. Western East Pacific:
The remnants of Newton are located nearly 1,000 miles southwest of 
the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula. Bursts of shower 
and thunderstorm activity associated with the low has shown signs of 
organization today. Some additional slight development of the system 
is possible for the next day or two and it could briefly become a 
tropical depression again while it moves generally westward over the 
western portion of the eastern North Pacific. Environmental 
conditions are expected to become less conducive for additional 
development by the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster D. Zelinsky