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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sun Sep 18 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Madeline, located a few hundred miles south-southeast of 
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. 

1. South of Central America and Southeastern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure located over the far eastern portion of 
the eastern North Pacific continues to produce disorganized shower 
and thunderstorm activity.  Environmental conditions are forecast to 
be conducive for slow development while the system moves slowly 
northwestward near or offshore of the coasts of southern Mexico and 
Guatemala through the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

2. South of Southern Mexico:
Another area of low pressure could form south of the southern 
or southwestern coast of Mexico in a few days.  Some gradual 
development is possible thereafter while the disturbance moves 
generally west-northwestward off the coast of southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Papin