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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sat Sep 17 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Lester, located just off the coast of southwestern Mexico.

1. Southwest of Southwestern Mexico:
A low pressure system continues to produce shower and thunderstorm 
activity a few hundred miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. This 
disturbance continues to show signs of organization, and a tropical 
depression will likely form later today or tonight. The low is 
forecast to meander off the southwestern coast of Mexico this 
weekend, and then turn north-northwestward early next week. For more 
information on this system, including gale warnings, please see High 
Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. South of Central America and Southeastern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form over the far eastern portion of 
the eastern North Pacific basin early next week. Environmental 
conditions are forecast to be conducive for some gradual development 
while the system moves west-northwestward near or offshore the coast 
of southern Mexico through mid-week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php 

Forecaster D. Zelinsky