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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Thu Sep 15 2022
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. Southwest of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure located a few hundred miles southwest of
Manzanillo, Mexico, continues to produce disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more
conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to
form within the next couple of days. This disturbance is forecast to
meander off the southwestern coast of Mexico through the end of this
week, and then begin to move northwestward early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
2. Near the Coast of Southern Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located off the southern coast of Mexico are beginning to show
signs of organization. Additional development of this system is
expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the
next day or so. The disturbance is forecast to move northwestward,
possibly moving inland along the southern coast of Mexico this
weekend. Interests in that area should monitor the progress of
this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
Forecaster Brown