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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Thu Sep 1 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Offshore of West-Central Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure 
located about 300 miles south of the southern tip of the Baja 
California peninsula are gradually becoming better organized. 
Environmental conditions appear favorable for development of this 
system, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is forecast to 
form later today or tonight while moving northwestward at about 10 
mph, likely remaining a couple of hundred miles off the western 
coast of Baja California Sur.  Additional information on this 
system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts 
issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. South of Southern Mexico:
A tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms 
near the Gulf of Tehuantepec.  Gradual development of this system 
is expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form late 
this weekend or early next week while it moves westward or 
west-northwestward near the coast of southern and southwestern 
Mexico.  Interests in southern and southwestern Mexico should 
monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be 
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on 
the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php 

Forecaster Cangialosi