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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Tue Aug 30 2022
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
A tropical wave located a few hundred miles south-southeast of
Manzanillo, Mexico is producing a large area of disorganized
showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast
to be conducive for gradual development during the next few days,
and a tropical depression is expected to form later this week or by
this weekend. The system is forecast to move west-northwestward or
northwestward, likely remaining a few hundred miles off the coast of
southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
2. South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the southern
coast of Mexico by late this week. Some gradual development of this
system is possible through early next week while it moves westward
or west-northwestward near the coast of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
Forecaster Brown