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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Thu Nov 4 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Recent satellite wind data indicates that the area of low pressure 
located a few hundred miles south of El Salvador has become 
better-defined. In addition, the associated shower and thunderstorm 
activity has become more concentrated overnight. If this 
developmental trend continues, then the disturbance will likely 
become a tropical depression later today. The system is expected to 
move generally westward well to the south of the coast of Central 
America and southeastern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. An area of disturbed weather associated with widespread but 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms is located several hundred 
miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico.  Environmental conditions 
appear conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression 
could form later this week or this weekend while the disturbance 
moves westward to west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph well to the 
south of the southern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Latto