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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Tue Oct 19 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. A broad area of disturbed weather located a few hundred miles south 
of the coasts of Guatemala and El Salvador continues to produce 
widely scattered showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental 
conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of 
this system during the next several days, and a tropical depression 
is likely to form by late this week or this weekend while the system 
moves west-northwestward to northwestward near or just off the coast 
of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Papin