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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

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TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Fri Sep 10 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Olaf, located just off the southwestern coast of Baja 
California Sur, Mexico.

1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located within a couple of 
hundred miles of the coasts of Guatemala and southern Mexico are 
associated with the southern portion of an approaching tropical 
wave.  A broad area of low pressure is expected to form along this 
wave to the south of the southern coast of Mexico during the next 
day or so.  Thereafter, environmental conditions could support some 
development of this system, and a tropical depression could form 
late this weekend or early next week while it moves generally 
northwestward near the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico. 
Regardless of development, this system will likely produce heavy 
rains across portions of Central America and southern Mexico during 
the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

Forecaster Papin




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