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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Mon Sep 6 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Showers and thunderstorms are gradually becoming better organized in 
association with an broad area of low pressure located a couple 
hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico.  Environmental 
conditions are conducive for additional development of this system, 
and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next couple 
of days while it moves generally west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, 
just offshore of the coast of Mexico. However, outer rainbands will 
produce locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds along the coast of 
the Mexican states of Colima and Jalisco for the next day or so.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest 
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Development, if any, of 
this system is likely to be slow over the next couple of days 
while it drifts northward.  By late this week, environmental 
conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further 
development. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Forecaster Stewart