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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Fri Aug 20 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Hurricane Grace located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico near 
the coast of mainland Mexico is forecast to dissipate over inland 
Mexico by early Sunday.  However, Grace's remnants are expected to 
continue moving westward and emerge over the eastern Pacific Ocean 
off the west-central coast of Mexico by Sunday afternoon. 
Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for 
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by 
early next week while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph
away from the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

2. An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of 
southern Mexico early next week.  Environmental conditions are 
expected to be conducive for some gradual development thereafter, 
and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week.  
The system is forecast to move generally west-northwestward at 10 to 
15 mph, near or just offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

Forecaster Latto