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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Mon Aug 2 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Hilda, located about 1000 miles west-southwest of the southern tip 
of the Baja California peninsula, and on recently upgraded Tropical 
Storm Ignacio, located more than 400 miles southwest of the southern 
tip of the Baja California peninsula. 

1. A low pressure system associated with the remnants of Tropical 
Depression Nine-E is producing a large area of showers and 
thunderstorms more than 1400 miles west-southwest of the southern 
tip of the Baja California peninsula. The shower activity has been 
increasing and showing some signs of organization over the past 
several hours, and environmental conditions are expected to be at 
least marginally conducive for a tropical depression to reform 
during the next day or so while the low moves west-northwestward to 
northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

2. An area of low pressure is expected to develop a few hundred 
miles south of the southern coast of Mexico by the end of the week. 
Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual 
development thereafter while the system moves west-northwestward at 
10 to 15 mph, just offshore and parallel to the coast of 
southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Ignacio are issued under WMO 
header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Ignacio are issued under 
WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5.

Forecaster Stewart




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