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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Thu Jul 29 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Showers and thunderstorms are gradually organizing in association 
with an area of low pressure located about 500 miles south-southwest 
of the coast of southwestern Mexico.  Environmental conditions are 
conducive for continued development, and a tropical depression is 
expected to form during the next day or two while the system moves 
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. Another area of low pressure is located about 1100 miles southwest 
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.  Although the 
circulation appears well defined, showers and thunderstorms are 
poorly organized and confined to an area southeast of the center.  
Upper-level winds are expected to become more conducive for 
development during the next couple of days, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form over the weekend while the system moves 
generally westward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi/Reinhart




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