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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Fri Sep 11 2020

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Shower activity associated with a low pressure area located about 
400 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California 
peninsula remains minimal.  Some development of this system, 
however, is still possible during the next day or two before it 
interacts with, and possibly becomes absorbed by, a larger weather 
disturbance to its east-southeast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

2. A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles 
south-southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico continues to 
produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  
Environmental conditions appear conducive for development of this 
system, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the 
weekend or early next week while the system moves 
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph away from the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Pasch