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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Tue Aug 25 2020

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. A broad low pressure system is located a few hundred miles 
south-southeast  of the southern tip of the Baja California 
peninsula.  Showers and thunderstorms are beginning to show some 
signs of organization, and environmental conditions appear 
conducive for a tropical depression to form during the next couple 
of days while the system moves slowly east-northeastward to 
northeastward toward the southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. A small low pressure system is located just offshore of the  
south-central Mexico coast near Puerto Angel.  The low is forecast 
to meander or move slowly westward to west-northwestward over or 
near the southern coast of Mexico, and a tropical depression could 
still form if the system remains offshore over the next day or 
two. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rainfall and flash 
flooding are likely in southeastern Mexico and northern Central 
America during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

3. Another small low pressure system has developed several hundred 
miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California 
peninsula. Some gradual development is possible during the next 
couple of days while the system moves slowly east-northeastward.  
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Roberts




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